Liverpool vs Villarreal - Betting Preview & Value Bet

Liverpool play host to Villarreal tonight in the Champions League Semi-Final.

Following a dramatic game in Manchester last night that saw a 7-goal thiller won in the end by Manchester City, many people will be expecting plenty of goals again tonight but maybe in not such a closely contested game.

With most bookies pricing Liverpool to win at around odds of 1.25 there is not a lot of value in backing the win here. Over 2.5 Goals is also best pricied around odds of 1.67 so not much value there if you are looking to join the masses.

We have a different perspective on how tonight might turn out! And it could well surprise you!

We are not expecting a goal-filled game and we think it could in fact turn out to be a frustrating evening to Jurgen Klopp and his side. 

In Villarreal they meet an interesting opponent with one of the best managers for tackling cup competitions like the Champions League and he will set his side out to give them the best chance of progressing over the two legs. With a lot of emphasis being placed on what they can do next week back in Spain!

With this in mind we feel like the match will not be played in the same way as we saw last night and the Spanish side will be keen to frustrate Liverpool tonight - expect a compact, pressing defensive line and some crunching challenges from the start.

Whilst we feel that Liverpool will eventually break them down, it will be a lower scoring game than the bookies expect and could well only see the one goal.

This then offers us value in the following bet:

  • UNDER 2.5 GOALS - Odds: 2.10 (Sky Bet)

We feel like this is a line at odds that offer great value - if we look at some potential other markets that we believe offer some consideration tonight then these are our picks:

  • 10+ Corners - Odds: 1.80
  • Over 3 Villarreal Cards (30+ Villarreal Booking Points) - Odds: 2.38

If you are having a bet on the game then best of luck! We hope you enjoy these tips and profit from them.

Enjoy the match!

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David Shaw

David Shaw

About author
David Shaw has many years experience in the football/sports betting industry and shares match previews, betting tips and more here on